Super El Nino raises 2026 northeast monsoon risk in South India
In short
Super El Nino is making the 2026 north-east monsoon look riskier for Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka and coastal Andhra Pradesh.
Scientists also note that seasonal rainfall during El Nino years has been higher since 1976 than from 1950 to 1976. The report does not say how much rain will fall, so the exact impact is still unknown.
What the reporting says
Super El Nino is raising the stakes for the 2026 north-east monsoon in Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka and coastal Andhra Pradesh, according to a publisher-supplied weather summary. The reporting also says scientists note seasonal rainfall during El Nino years has trended higher since 1976 than in the 1950-1976 period. The immediate consequence is elevated weather uncertainty for the region, while actual rainfall amounts for 2026 are not stated.
Why it matters
Super El Nino is described as raising the stakes for the 2026 north-east monsoon across Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka and coastal Andhra Pradesh. The summary adds that scientists have seen higher seasonal rainfall during El Nino years since 1976 than in 1950-1976, but it does not give a forecast number. The story points to weather risk for the region, with actual 2026 rainfall still unknown.