Signal Desk · Crypto

Prediction markets see 75% chance of Democratic sweep

2026-11-03 · 1 source · Cointelegraph

In short

Kalshi and Polymarket are showing a 75% chance that Democrats will sweep the key US midterm crypto races. The report says this came days after the markets were wrong about Brazil’s runoff.

This matters because traders watch these odds, but the reporting does not say which races are included or whether the forecast will be right.

What the reporting says

Kalshi and Polymarket priced a 75% chance of a Democratic sweep in key US midterm crypto races, according to a publisher-supplied summary. The report says the markets made that call days after they misjudged Brazil’s runoff, but it does not identify the specific races or any resulting political outcome. The immediate implication for traders is unclear from the available reporting.

Why it matters

Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing a 75% chance of a Democratic sweep in key US midterm crypto races, based on the available summary. The source also notes that the markets recently misjudged Brazil’s runoff, which raises caution around the prediction. However, the specific contests, the polling basis, and any actual election result are not stated.

Touches: Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto, Markets, Global

Sources