Signal Desk · Markets

RBI's $239 billion forward dollar position may cap rupee gains

2026-11-09 · 2 sources · Economic Times Markets

In short

The RBI’s net short position in the forward market stood at $239 billion as of September 2026, according to reports. The figure could limit how much the rupee rises, even as foreign portfolio investor inflows improve.

That may mean the central bank keeps the rupee from strengthening too much against the US dollar.

What the reporting says

The RBI's net short position in the forward market stood at $239 billion as of September 2026, according to reports citing an IDFC First Bank research note. The report says this position could limit the rupee's appreciation even as foreign portfolio investor inflows recover. It also notes the central bank may need to buy dollars as swaps mature, which could further cap gains against the US dollar.

Why it matters

Reports say the RBI’s net short position in the forward market stood at $239 billion as of September 2026, and that this could limit the rupee’s appreciation despite a recovery in foreign portfolio investor inflows. The cited research note says the central bank may need to accumulate dollars as buy-sell swaps mature, which could cap gains for the rupee against the US dollar.

Touches: Reserve Bank of India, IDFC First Bank, Markets, Currency, RBI

Sources